fdllodge20
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Post by fdllodge20 on Aug 4, 2021 18:17:16 GMT -5
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Post by selurnivek on Aug 5, 2021 17:15:59 GMT -5
Congrats on getting some graded winners so quickly! I am a firm believer in the you have to be in it to win it so I appreciate your entries. With that said, this is what I think:
Big Red Stakes. The yielding turf is a big question mark and could lead to a chaotic out come.
Aussie June Chill ran huge to annex the G2 Jefferson Davis stakes going 9f with a 112 figure which stacks up nicely with these. He is coming off of 4 consecutive new tops in which his last two were earned 28 days apart. He gets a little freshening coming back after 2 months. He has never run on a yielding track. Negative notes: I expect him to regress in this race coming off two new tops within a month. Added distance is a question mark as 9f and 10f is a huge difference in the sim. Yielding track is another question mark. Competition is stiff. Positive notes: ran huge in his last race with a 112 and winning by open lengths which gives him room to improve. That race was in May, it feels like 3yo figures have been boosted since. No reason breeding wise he should not like the added distance and the yielding turf. Overall: One of the ones on the win end if everything breaks right but feels like a slight regression to me.
Golden July beat an decent field in the G3 Movie Cup last out with a 103 figure at 9F. Two back he regressed going 11F. Won a NW2L going 9F on a yielding course. Negative Notes: Speed figures are light. The G3 Movie Cup was not a very strong field. Competition is stiff. Positive Notes: Only horse to win on a yielding turf. Distance should hit him right between the eyes. My New Approach's like 10F but sometimes struggle going longer. Pattern is good with a regression then a new top. Overall: I expect a new top from Golden July which should put him in the top half of the field. Will it be enough? I am not sure but he would be my longshot choice in the race.
The More Nay
Yes Aussie Feb 2yo racing is a crap shoot in this game, specially early 2yo racing. I have had big favorites lose to 50-1 shots. His last race was very good winning Conservatory Juvenile going 5.5F on the turf with a 77. 3 for 4 lifetime, horse deserves a shot. Negative notes: Only try at 6F was a loss. Seems to have less upside than others. Competition is stiff. Positive notes: Bred to sprint. Stakes win earned a 77 going 5.5 harder to earn higher numbers going under 6F. Beat "The Rules" and "Illustrious Mirage" in last. "Rules" came back to run second in a stakes race with an 82 and "Mirage" ran 2nd in the G2 Champagne Mile with an 88. Tough and likes to win at longer odds. Overall: I feel Aussie is a good horse but others seem to have more upside.
Please take my opinion with a grain of salt as it is very hard to predict digital horses. Heck I can't pick real horses either. Congrats on getting them this far and good luck in these and all of your races!
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fdllodge20
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Post by fdllodge20 on Aug 5, 2021 20:54:52 GMT -5
Love your insights here selurnivek. Most appreciated.
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fdllodge20
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Post by fdllodge20 on Aug 8, 2021 15:30:12 GMT -5
Yes Aussie Feb came last in 2yo race. Golden July outclassed in G1.
Aussie June Chill nearly pulled it off splitting two of the best 3yo turfers in the game going down by a fast finishing second the barest of margin - a neck. Nearly got there. So proud of him.
7 MOON OVER MOUNTAIN JPN 3M mrxrayz34 T Ace 110 229 5 4-3/4 5 6-3/4 3 1-1/4 --- 8.69 Horse has won a Grade/Group 1 race Horse has earned $1 million 6 AUSSIE JUNE CHILL NZ 3M fdllodgec J Sands 110 032 12 7 12 10 8 4 nk 9.90 Horse has won a Grade/Group 2 race Horse has earned $500,000 1 BLUE BLOOD FORM IRE 3M mrxrayz13 K Ledwith 109 278 7 4-3/4 6 6-3/4 4 1-3/4 3/4 6.96 Horse has won a Grade/Group 1 race Horse has earned $1 million 14 ARTHURS DRAGON IRE 3G dragonrider3 Q Cassell 108 249 8 4-3/4 8 7 6 2-1/4 1-3/4 12.50 Horse has won a Grade/Group 1 race Horse has earned $500,000 5 RADICAL SOLUTION GB 3M shotover R Bokie 108 042 6 4-3/4 7 6-3/4 7 2-1/4 2 13.68 Horse has won a Grade/Group 2 race Horse has earned $250,000 3 MOB DEVIOUS IRE 3G mafia A Jolly 104 593 3 3-1/4 3 4-3/4 5 2 5-1/2 17.98 Horse is graded/group placed Horse has won a stakes race Horse has earned $500,000 10 WEIRD TIMES KY 3M plugger03 F Gossett 104 290 2 2 2 2-3/4 2 1/2 5-3/4 5.59 Horse has won a Grade/Group 2 race Horse has earned $250,000 11 ARRABELLA KY 3M brokendreams L Radzinski 102 869 9 5-1/2 9 8-1/4 9 5-1/4 7-1/4 11.49 Horse has won a Grade/Group 2 race Horse has earned $500,000 8 TOO SHAKY TO HOLD IRE 3G icbomber12 D Raymond 101 097 13 7-1/2 13 11-1/4 12 8-1/4 9 9.69 Horse has won a Grade/Group 2 race Horse has earned $250,000 9 EXCELERATSU IRE 3G dragonrider2 O A Haack 100 510 1 2 1 2-3/4 1 1/2 9-1/2 7.71 Horse has won a Grade/Group 1 race Horse has earned $500,000 4 NUKASHINE FR 3G lenny13 K Banner 97 553 11 6 11 9-1/2 11 8 12-1/2 10.40 Horse is graded/group placed Horse has won a stakes race Horse has earned $100,000 12 GOLDEN JULY ENG 3G fdllodged H Desitter 97 032 14 9-1/4 14 14-1/4 14 12 13 24.48 Horse has won a Grade/Group 3 race Horse has earned $100,000 2 PURPLE RANGER IRE 3M americanp111 D Givins 96 393 4 4-1/4 4 6-1/2 10 6-1/2 13-3/4 8.26 Horse has won a Grade/Group 3 race Horse has earned $250,000 13 THICK VEIN IRE 3G zbiz1 M Zeus 95 071 10 6 10 9-1/4 13 9 15 32.86 Horse is stakes placed Horse has won an allowance race Horse has earned $100,000
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Post by selurnivek on Aug 8, 2021 22:55:33 GMT -5
I thought you had them!
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Post by 3away on Aug 8, 2021 23:51:25 GMT -5
Nice going Fin , next time u got it 👌
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fdllodge20
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Post by fdllodge20 on Aug 9, 2021 0:30:08 GMT -5
Thank you guys and could not do it without my mentor/coach (3away) as well as the great guys here at All Stars Racing.
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Post by smokeglack on Aug 9, 2021 15:52:11 GMT -5
Great run with Aussie! I think the proper rest you gave him, a smart ride in class event to see was a great choice. The winner win a Gr 1 last time it with the same speed number on a firm course. Here is a little piece of advice that I have learned in 20 years of this game. JMO. I would try to find a nice small allowance or stakes race next time out. Plan ahead for your next Grade 1 off of that. Ex: let's say there's a Gr1 11 weeks from now. Spot an allowance or stakes 5 weeks out. Then enter him in the Gr 1 after that effort, win or lose. I love horses that back off a Gr 1 effort, then have them primed for the ultimate Gr 1 effort I really want to win. I know Kev and a few of us will actually buy a hot race against 3 other horses just to negate the effort levels used. Doesn't matter if he runs an 80 and wins by 2. Your goal is the bounce back and prep for his gr 1. Just my opinion, but happy for ya bud!
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fdllodge20
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Post by fdllodge20 on Aug 9, 2021 16:33:07 GMT -5
Thank you for advice Smokey. You have been very helpful and honest from the minute i started playing. Appreciate your guidance.
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Post by Lmaris on Aug 19, 2021 9:50:09 GMT -5
Fin you are a rock star.
Joined the same time as you and I'm still plugging in Allowance company with the rare ungraded stakes horse - just the one win.
You're my role model
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fdllodge20
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Post by fdllodge20 on Aug 19, 2021 18:28:44 GMT -5
Thank you Lois. We started playing this game as a package. Success and failures shared LOL. We have patience of Angels now lmfao.
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fdllodge20
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Post by fdllodge20 on Sept 8, 2021 17:52:34 GMT -5
Entries just closed for this weekend's G1 Saint Legend over 14.5 for 3yos. Aussie June Chill will take his place and is equal favourite. Goodness that got me excited maybe i should tamper the excitement. Fingers crossed and here's field:
Surrey-ENG (SUR) Saturday, September 11, 2021 -- 3:00:00 PM EST | Race ID : 2617255 Grade I / Group 1 Race Long Division Turf Race 3 Year Old Race Race Open to All Sexes Saint Legend Grade I / Group 1*CPU - Purse : $3,000,000 Restricted to 3 Year Olds 14.5 Furlongs | ~2900 Meters | One Mile and Thirteen Sixteenths Firm Turf
Status : Race cards now available. Entries Closed on 9/8/2021 -- 6:00:00 PM EST # Horse Bred A/S Owner Jockey R W IM% USD EPnt Odds Badges Capper my Sire 1 AUSSIE JUNE CHILL NZ 3M fdllodgec J Sands 10 3 90% $512,215 36.50 6/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 2 race Horse has earned $500,000 Turf Route ACE HIGH (AUS) 2 THE MARK OF NUKA KY 3G thethumb07 D Raymond 8 3 87% $305,154 70.00 6/1 Horse is graded/group placed Horse has won an allowance race Horse has earned $250,000 Turf Long ENGLISH CHANNEL 3 KAWASAKI PURSUIT IRE 3M gunners3 K Ledwith 6 2 83% $423,755 66.00 18/1 Horse is graded/group placed Horse has won an allowance race Horse has earned $250,000 Turf Long CHURCHILL (IRE) 4 UNHOLY CHARGE FR 3M dinioh13 K Uglebjerg 9 2 56% $185,984 32.00 16/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 3 race Horse has earned $100,000 Turf Long CHEMICAL CHARGE (IRE) 5 SADFACE EMOJI GB 3G ramo E Eberhard 9 3 56% $535,627 133.00 10/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 1 race Horse has earned $500,000 Turf Long NATHANIEL 6 RISK FREE RATE IRE 3M alysalley T Small 11 3 27% $133,324 37.00 59/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 3 race Horse has earned $100,000 Turf Long SEA THE STARS 7 ANDY'S ASMONT KY 3M montanarox M Scott 8 3 87% $306,330 41.00 9/1 Horse is graded/group placed Horse has won a stakes race Horse has earned $250,000 Turf Route AMERICAIN 8 HALBERD IRE 3G piccolo87 Q Cassell 8 3 75% $579,665 145.50 9/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 1 race Horse has earned $500,000 Turf Long CAMELOT (GB) 9 BULLSEYE NAVIOR IRE 3M lenny14 L Radzinski 8 3 75% $375,362 97.00 11/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 2 race Horse has earned $250,000 Turf Long TEOFILO 10 CAPRICORN BANKER AUS 3F deyoto12 R Dogs 8 4 75% $1,670,381 176.50 14/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 1 race Horse has earned $1 million Turf Long DUNDEEL (NZ) 11 HOLD SWAY KY 3M phalaris R Bokie 11 4 55% $233,612 34.50 8/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 3 race Horse has earned $100,000 Turf Long JUSTIFY 12 WOW WEE CONNECTION ENG 3M erdiya K Bowen 10 3 70% $486,001 83.50 7/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 2 race Horse has earned $250,000 Turf Route FRANKEL (GB) 13 KEPLER CRAFTER IRE 3M marre2 J Plumber 9 4 89% $368,765 84.75 11/1 Horse is graded/group placed Horse has won a stakes race Horse has earned $250,000 Turf Long MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE) 14 ALMIKE IRE 3G marude N Bonus 15 4 67% $1,261,944 97.00 10/1 Horse has won a Grade/Group 2 race Horse has earned $1 million Turf Long CAMELOT (GB)
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Post by broohar on Sept 8, 2021 19:21:59 GMT -5
Good luck mate, you've got this!
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fdllodge20
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Post by fdllodge20 on Sept 8, 2021 19:30:56 GMT -5
Thank you Brohar. Fingers crossed
How did you do your signature to be coloured text. Can you send me instructions.
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Post by crawf68 on Sept 9, 2021 8:12:46 GMT -5
Im in that race with Unholy Charge..Good Luck
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